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GLOF from Thyanbo glacial lake sweeps away Thame Village
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GLOF from Thyanbo glacial lake sweeps away Thame Village

The devastating flood which struck Thame, a village in the Khumbu region of Nepal, on 16 August 2024 was due to an outburst flood from Thyanbo glacial lake.

Tashi Lapcha = Trashi Labtsa

An initial assessment of damage by the local authorities shows 14 properties have been destroyed, including one school, one health post, five hotels and seven homes.

Thame is a prominent village in Namche region of Solukhumbu, home to renowned Everest mountaineers and current record holder Kami Rita Sherpa.

Several glacial lakes lie upstream of Thame. Satellite images of the area dating back to 2017 obtained by ICIMOD from the European Space Agency's Copernicus earth observation programme show these lakes constantly changing in size.

Sentinel satellite imagery show the constant change in lake size located in upstream of Thame River.

Researchers at ICIMOD confirm that some of them frequently expand and contract, making them susceptible to breaches.

These lakes lie near the popular trekking destination of Tashi Lapcha Pass. The neighbouring valley holds one of the region's most potentially dangerous glacial lakes, Tsho Rolpa.

ICIMOD scientists are further investigating the causes of GLOF and its impact downstream, including seeking pre- and post-satellite images, in order to complement the efforts of national and local agencies, including Nepal's Department of Hydrology and Meteorology.

ICIMOD's 2023 assessment, Water, Ice, Society, and Ecosystems in the Hindu Kush Himalaya (https://hkh.icimod.org /hi-wise/), stated that the glaciers, snow, and permafrost of the Hindu Kush Himalaya are "undergoing unprecedented and largely irreversible changes over human timescales, primarily driven by climate change"and "are some of the most vulnerable to these changes in the world."

260 million people live in the mountains of the Hindu Kush Himalayas (HKH), and these mountain communities, the report continues, "are already living with the impacts of the accelerated melting of glaciers, changing snowfall patterns, growing variability in water availability, and increasing incidences of cryosphere-related hazards [posing] a direct impact on their lives and livelihoods."

It warns floods and landslides are projected to increase, with climate the key driver in many of the water- and cryosphere-related disasters already recorded in recent years, through meltwater, larger and more potentially dangerous lakes, unstable slopes from thawing permafrost, and increasing sediment loads in rivers.

The retreat of mountain glaciers has increased the size and number of glacial lakes, and a three-fold increase in glacial lake outburst flood risk across the HKH is projected by the end of the twenty-first century, and it's predicted we'll reach 'peak GLOF risk' by 2050.

There are 25,000+ glacial lakes in the Hindu Kush Himalaya region, of which 47 potentially dangerous glacial lakes (PDGLs)* lie within the Koshi, Gandaki, and Karnali river basins of Nepal, the Tibet Autonomous Region of China, and India. High Mountain Asia is a global hotspot for risk of GLOFs, with approximately one million people living within 10km of a glacial lake according to a new glacial lake inventory report (https://lib.icimod.org /record/34905). The growth in the number and size of glacial lakes is set to continue.

* https://www.icimod.org /new-glacial-lake-inventory-report-released-47-potentially-dangerous-glacial-lakes-ranked/)

Quelle: ICIMOD, 17 August 2024

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